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Insights

Stocks: events that moved it

Discretionary and benchmarked equity portfolios. This page gathers the pieces in our Insights archive that touched stocks: what happened, what it meant for this kind of investment, and where to read the original reporting.

Market-history pieces are retrospectives, dated by the event. They are general information, not advice, and not a record of any RockLake position at the time.

Market history · 52

Central banks ·

The Fed turns: from a cutting debate to a rate rise

In 2026 the Federal Reserve moved from dissents in favour of cuts to a unanimous quarter-point increase.

Currencies ·

The US and Japan step in to support the yen

After the yen fell to its weakest since 1986, both governments bought yen in a joint intervention.

New issues ·

SpaceX lists in the largest IPO ever

A $75 billion offering, with individual investors queuing for shares, put a private company's growth into public hands in a single day.

Commodities ·

The Iran war sends Brent above $113

With the Strait of Hormuz effectively shut, oil had risen about 50% since the war began.

New issues ·

Figma more than triples on its first day

A heavily oversubscribed software IPO showed how much demand there was for growth shares in 2025, and how quickly early gains can fade.

Commodities ·

Israel strikes Iran and oil jumps

Crude rose sharply and shares fell as markets weighed the risk to Gulf supply.

Infrastructure ·

The IEA sizes the power demand from artificial intelligence

The International Energy Agency projected that electricity use by data centres would more than double by 2030.

Trade ·

The 90-day tariff pause and the biggest one-day rally since 2008

A week after Liberation Day, a pause on most reciprocal tariffs sent US shares sharply higher.

Trade ·

Liberation Day: a tariff shock reprices global markets

Sweeping US tariff announcements triggered one of the sharpest sell-offs since 2020.

New issues ·

CoreWeave prices below its range and closes flat

The biggest US tech listing since 2021 was a muted debut, a sign that appetite for AI shares had limits.

Fiscal policy ·

Germany loosens its debt brake

A historic fiscal package for defence and infrastructure marked a turn in Europe's biggest economy.

Technology ·

The DeepSeek shock

A low-cost Chinese AI model prompted a record one-day loss in Nvidia's market value.

Central banks ·

The Fed cuts again, and markets fall

A third cut to 4.25–4.50% came with a more cautious outlook for 2025.

Markets ·

Markets react to Donald Trump's election win

US stocks and the dollar rose and bitcoin surged as investors priced in tax cuts, tariffs and deregulation.

Markets ·

The yen carry-trade unwind

A Bank of Japan rate rise and weak US data triggered Japan's worst day since 1987.

Technology ·

Nvidia becomes the world's most valuable listed company

The AI chip-maker overtook Microsoft, with a market value above $3 trillion.

Central banks ·

The ECB makes its first rate cut since 2019

Europe moved ahead of the Fed, trimming its deposit rate from a record 4% to 3.75%.

Emerging markets ·

India's markets tumble on a narrower election win

Stocks that had hit record highs on exit-poll hopes fell almost 6% in a day when the ruling alliance's majority was smaller than expected.

Central banks ·

Japan ends negative interest rates

The Bank of Japan raised rates for the first time in 17 years after the Nikkei topped its 1989 peak.

Geopolitics ·

Oil and gold rise after the Hamas attack on Israel

Oil jumped more than 4% on the first trading day, and gold reached $2,000 by the end of the month.

New issues ·

Arm's IPO reopens the market for large listings

The chip designer raised $4.87 billion, the biggest offering of 2023, and rose 25% on its first day.

Equities ·

Nvidia and the AI rally lift the Nasdaq

A blow-out forecast made artificial intelligence the market's dominant theme.

Banking ·

Credit Suisse is sold to UBS

A weekend rescue wrote down CHF 16 billion of AT1 bonds and shocked bondholders.

Banking ·

Silicon Valley Bank fails

A $42 billion single-day deposit run brought down the 16th-largest US bank.

Portfolios ·

2022: when stocks and bonds fell together

The classic 60/40 portfolio had one of its worst years in decades.

Currencies ·

The euro falls to parity with the dollar

For the first time in twenty years one euro bought one dollar or less.

Central banks ·

The Fed's 75 basis-point hike

The largest single rate rise since 1994 in a year that took rates from near zero to 4.5%.

Central banks ·

The Fed starts its fastest tightening in decades

A quarter-point rise to 0.25–0.50% began a campaign that took rates above 4% within the year.

New issues ·

Rivian lists at a value above Ford and GM

An electric-vehicle maker with almost no revenue was valued at $86 billion after its first day.

Emerging markets ·

China's regulatory crackdown hits tech and education shares

Rules on data, tutoring and overseas listings erased tens of billions in value in a matter of weeks.

Alternatives ·

Archegos: the hidden leverage that cost banks billions

A family office using swaps built huge positions in a handful of shares; when they fell, the banks that financed it lost heavily.

Equities ·

The SPAC boom

Record numbers of blank-cheque companies listed, then largely disappointed.

Equities ·

GameStop and the retail short squeeze

Coordinated retail buying sent a struggling retailer up more than twentyfold and caught hedge funds short.

Markets ·

Vaccine news sparks a great rotation

Positive trial results sent cyclical and value stocks surging and pandemic winners lower.

New issues ·

Ant Group's record IPO is suspended days before listing

Regulators halted a dual listing that was set to raise almost $34.5 billion, the largest ever at the time.

New issues ·

Snowflake doubles in the biggest software IPO ever

The cloud data company raised about $3.4 billion and more than doubled on its first day.

Policy ·

The $2.2 trillion CARES Act is signed

The largest US fiscal rescue in history helped stop the fall in markets.

Equities ·

The fastest bear market in history

The S&P 500 fell about a third in five weeks as the pandemic shut down economies.

Central banks ·

The Fed's half-point cut before its scheduled meeting

The Fed cut by half a point on 3 March 2020, weeks before it was due to meet.

New issues ·

Saudi Aramco raises $25.6 billion in the world's biggest IPO

The oil giant's Riyadh listing priced at 32 riyals and briefly made it the most valuable company in the world.

New issues ·

Uber lists below its offer price

The ride-hailing company priced at $45, opened at $42 and ended its first day lower.

Equities ·

The December 2018 sell-off

US stocks fell almost 20% from their September peak as the Fed kept raising rates.

Central banks ·

The Fed raises rates for the fourth time in 2018

A rise to 2.25–2.50% came in the middle of a market sell-off.

Trade ·

The US–China tariff war begins

Tariffs on $34 billion of Chinese imports took effect, and China retaliated in kind.

Volatility ·

Volmageddon

The VIX more than doubled in a day, destroying products that bet on calm markets.

Policy ·

US tax reform cuts the corporate rate to 21%

The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act was signed on 22 December 2017.

Volatility ·

The year volatility vanished

The VIX closed below 10 repeatedly and the S&P 500 rose every month.

Markets ·

The reflation trade

Bond yields jumped, banks and cyclicals rallied and the Fed raised rates for the second time.

Currencies ·

Brexit: the UK votes to leave the EU

A 52–48 result surprised markets and sent sterling to a 30-year low.

Markets ·

China's yuan devaluation and 'Black Monday'

A surprise currency move and a collapsing Chinese equity bubble unsettled global markets.

Equities ·

China's stock market peaks, then loses a third of its value

A margin-fuelled boom ended in a summer of heavy falls and government intervention.

Currencies ·

The Swiss franc shock

The SNB scrapped its euro cap without warning and the franc surged as much as 29%.

Explainers · 7

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